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Kalkuletar Break-Even Win Rate

Daga Katie, marubuciyar Katie TutorialsKatieMai ciniki kuma malama · shekaru 7+Katie ta shafe fiye da shekaru bakwai tana cinikin options na gajeren lokaci, kuma tana koyar da mabiya fiye da 300,000 a YouTube. Kowane darasi a nan ya fito ne daga littafin cinikinta na kanta, har da kura-kuran da ta yi.Cikakken tarihiBabu alamomin ciniki, babu jagoranci na biya. Yadda ake tabbatar da gaskiyar darussan · Kayan aiki kyauta · An duba 1 ga Oktoba, 2026

A dandamalin da ke biyan kaso tsayayye idan ka ci kuma suke ɗaukar duk kuɗin idan ka faɗi, cin rabin cinikinka bai isa ba. Shigar da payout ka ga win rate da kake buƙata don kawai ka tsaya a sifili.

%
%
$
%

Dole ka ci aƙalla

55.6%

Wato cinikai 56 masu nasara a cikin kowane 100, don kawai ka yi break even.

Abubuwan ciki (8)
  1. Yadda ake amfani da kalkuletar break even
  2. Yadda yake aiki
  3. Break-even win rate na payout da aka saba gani
  4. Me yasa 50% lambar asara ce
  5. Me za ka yi da wannan lambar
  6. Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi
  7. Kalkuleta masu alaƙa
  8. Koyi shi yadda ya kamata

Yadda ake amfani da kalkuletar break even

  1. Shigar da payout da dandamalinka ke nunawa don ciniki mai nasara, misali 80%.
  2. Idan dandamalin yana mayar da wani ɓangare na ciniki da ka faɗi, shigar da wannan refund. Yawancinsu ba sa bayarwa, don haka bar shi a 0.
  3. Duba win rate da kake buƙata. Ba dole ba: shigar da stake ɗinka da ainihin win rate ɗinka don ganin abin da cinikai 100 za su kawo.

Yadda yake aiki

Idan ka ci, kana samun payout, misali 80% na stake ɗinka. Idan ka faɗi, kana rasa 100% nasa. Nasara ɗaya tana dawo da ƙasa da abin da faɗuwa ɗaya ke ɗauka, don haka kana buƙatar nasarori fiye da faɗuwa don kawai ka tsaya daidai.

break-even win rate = 1 ÷ (1 + payout)
idan akwai refund a faɗuwa: (1 − refund) ÷ (payout + 1 − refund)

Da payout na 80% wannan shi ne 1 ÷ 1.8 = 55.6%. Da payout na 80% da refund na 10% shi ne 0.9 ÷ 1.7 = 52.9%.

Break-even win rate na payout da aka saba gani

PayoutWin rate da ake buƙataNasarori cikin 100
70%58.8%59
75%57.1%58
80%55.6%56
85%54.1%55
90%52.6%53
95%51.3%52

Me yasa 50% lambar asara ce

A ce ka yi ciniki sau 100, $10 kowane ɗaya, da payout na 80%, kuma ka ci daidai rabi. Nasarori 50 suna biyanka $400. Faɗuwa 50 suna jawo maka asarar $500. Ka ƙare da asarar $100, duk da cewa sau da ka yi daidai sun yi daidai da sau da ka yi kuskure.

Wannan shi ne dukan matsalar a misali ɗaya. Dabarar da take da kyau a kan chart na iya yin asara, saboda payout yana ƙayyade sakamako kamar yadda wuraren shiga ciniki suke yi.

Me za ka yi da wannan lambar

  • Duba payout kafin kowane ciniki. Yana canzawa tsakanin kadarori da kuma cikin yini, kuma ƙaramin payout yana ɗaga matakin da kake buƙata.
  • Ƙidaya ainihin win rate ɗinka daga littafin cinikinka a kan aƙalla cinikai 100, ba daga mako ɗaya mai kyau ba.
  • Idan ainihin win rate ɗinka ya yi ƙasa da lambar da ke sama, maganin ba babban stake ba ne. Ka tsaya ka fara gano dalilin.
Kafin ka yi ciniki da kayayyaki masu tsayayyen payout. A EU da Birtaniya, an hana sayar da binary options ga ƙananan 'yan kasuwa, saboda yawancin mutane suna asarar kuɗi a cikinsu. Wannan kalkuleta tana nan don nuna maka lissafin, ba don ƙarfafa ka ka yi ciniki da su ba.

Tambayoyin da ake yawan yi

Yaya ake lissafin break-even win rate na binary options?

Raba 1 da 1 haɗe da payout. Da payout na 80%: 1 ÷ 1.8 = 55.6%. Idan dandamalin yana mayar da wani ɓangare na ciniki da ka faɗi, yi amfani da (1 − refund) ÷ (payout + 1 − refund).

Wane payout ne mai kyau?

Mafi girma, mafi kyau, amma ko a 90% kana buƙatar cin fiye da rabin cinikinka. Babu wani payout da zai sa dabarar sa'a kamar jefa kwabo ta kawo riba.

Shin stake yana canza win rate da nake buƙata?

A'a. Break-even win rate ya dogara ne kawai da payout da kuma refund idan akwai. Stake yana canza yawan kuɗin da kake ci ko kake rasawa ne kawai.

Idan dandamalina yana mayar da wani ɓangare na ciniki da na faɗi fa?

Refund yana rage win rate da kake buƙata. Da payout na 80% da refund na 10% a faɗuwa, kana buƙatar 52.9% maimakon 55.6%.

Me yasa sakamakona ya fi abin da kalkuletar ke nunawa muni?

Yawanci saboda ainihin win rate a kan cinikai da yawa ya yi ƙasa da yadda ka ji, ko kuma saboda payout ya yi ƙasa a wasu cinikai fiye da yadda ka zata.

Kalkuleta masu alaƙa

Koyi shi yadda ya kamata

  1. 1Yadda za ku san ko dabarar cinikinku tana aiki da gaskeWin rate, matsakaicin riba da asara, da yawan cinikan da kake buƙata kafin lambobin su sami ma'ana.
  2. 2Dabarar Parabolic SAR da ketarewar EMA: bayanin cinikai 5 na gaske na minti 1Cinikai biyar na gaske na minti 1 tare da bayani, da dokokin da ke bayan kowane shigar ciniki.
  3. 3Yadda ake rubuta littafin ciniki (da abin da za a rubuta)Rubutu mai sauƙi da ke nuna maka ainihin win rate ɗinka.

Don ilimi kawai, ba shawarar kuɗi ba. Trading yana da haɗarin gaske na rasa kuɗi. Ba a ajiye ko aika abin da ka shigar zuwa ko'ina: kalkuletar tana aiki a cikin burauzarka.